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Best tennis prediction sites: Elo ratings, H2H stats and tips

Editorial disclaimer: TheBettingDude reviews betting products. I do not take bets, host odds or accept payment for a rank, and the links out are plain links with no commission behind them. Featured placements are labelled and sit outside the ranking. How I score

6 listedupdated by The Dude

Top 6 compared

Comparison of the 6 best-scoring entries on this list. Sort by rank, name or score.
RankNameScorePlatformsPriceBest for
1Tennis Abstract8.3WebFreeIndependent tennis data: Elo ratings, surface splits and match charting. Plain pages, serious depth.
2BetExplorer7.8WebFreeResults, fixtures and odds archives across many sports. Not a tips site, more a reference desk for doing your own homework.
3TennisExplorer7.8WebFreeResults, head-to-heads and odds for tennis from Grand Slams down to ITF events. Reference site first, tips second.
4Ultimate Tennis Statistics7.7WebFreeFree, open-source ATP stats with Elo ratings, head-to-heads and a tournament forecast tool. Men's tour only.
5MatchStat7.5WebFreeTennis head-to-head stats and match predictions for ATP and WTA. Handy for a quick look, thin on method.
6SportyTrader7.5WebFreeWritten match previews with a tip at the end, for football, tennis and a few other sports. Expect bookmaker adverts around the content.

Which tennis prediction sites are actually useful?

Tennis is a good sport for data. One player against one player, thousands of matches a year and no team-mates to muddy the picture. This list of the best tennis prediction sites is for bettors who want to use that, whether by reading someone else’s prediction or by building their own view.

The strongest sites here don’t tip at all. Tennis Abstract is Jeff Sackmann’s project: Elo ratings, surface splits and match charting on plain pages with serious depth. Ultimate Tennis Statistics is free and open-source, with Elo, head-to-heads and a tournament forecast tool, for the men’s tour only. TennisExplorer covers results, head-to-heads and odds from Grand Slams down to ITF events.

Then come the sites that give you a prediction. Matchstat pairs head-to-head stats with a pick and is thin on method. SportyTrader publishes written previews with a tip at the end and plenty of bookmaker advertising around them.

What I look for when ranking them: are numbers split by surface? Does coverage include the WTA and the lower tours, or only the men’s main tour? Is the method explained? Does the site show probabilities you can compare with odds? How heavy are the adverts? The methodology covers how marks are given. For the moment they rest on desk research alone, and they stay provisional until reviews are written.

Once you have a probability, the odds converter shows what the bookmaker’s price implies, and value betting explains what to do with the difference. On a phone, see tennis prediction apps. To compare bookmakers, see tennis betting sites. 18+.

The full ranking

Tennis Abstract

#18.3

Independent tennis data: Elo ratings, surface splits and match charting. Plain pages, serious depth.

WebPrice: Free

  • Elo ratings by surface for ATP and WTA
  • Free
  • Looks like a spreadsheet, and gives no tips
See listingVisit

BetExplorer

#27.8

Results, fixtures and odds archives across many sports. Not a tips site, more a reference desk for doing your own homework.

WebPrice: Free

See listingVisit

SportyTrader

#67.5

Written match previews with a tip at the end, for football, tennis and a few other sports. Expect bookmaker adverts around the content.

WebPrice: Free

See listingVisit

Tennis prediction sites: common questions

  • What is the best site for tennis predictions?

    For your own research, Tennis Abstract: Elo ratings, surface splits and detailed match charting. For ready-made predictions, Matchstat pairs head-to-head stats with a pick, though it says little about its method. I'd use a stats site to check any prediction site, not the other way round.

  • What is an Elo rating in tennis?

    Elo is a rating system borrowed from chess. A player gains points for a win and loses them for a defeat, and the amount depends on how strong the opponent was. It reacts faster than the official rankings and can be split by surface. The gap between two players' ratings converts directly into a win probability.

  • Do head-to-head records matter in tennis?

    They matter, with caveats. A lopsided record often reflects a real style problem: a big server who can't hurt a great returner, for instance. But check when and where the matches were played. Three meetings on clay five years ago say little about a grass-court match this week. Small samples mislead more than they inform.

  • Are tennis rankings good for predicting matches?

    Only roughly. Official rankings add up points from the last 52 weeks, so they reward playing a lot and lag behind current form. They ignore the surface entirely. A player returning from injury can be ranked 150 and play like a top-20 player. Ratings built for prediction, such as surface Elo, do the job better.

  • Where can I find stats for Challenger and ITF matches?

    TennisExplorer lists results, head-to-heads and odds from the Grand Slams down to ITF events, and BetExplorer keeps odds archives for many of the same matches. Be careful with bets at that level. Information is thin, form is erratic, and the lowest tiers are where the sport's integrity problems have shown up most often.

  • Are free tennis tips worth following?

    Sometimes as a starting point. SportyTrader publishes written tennis previews with a tip at the end, surrounded by bookmaker adverts. The reasoning is the valuable part. Check whether the tipster mentions the surface, recent workload and the price. A tip with no price in mind isn't really a betting tip.

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